The worst thing a studio can do on a weekend as big as this is project too much. And if there’s one thing about Thanksgiving predictions, it’s that they’re always exaggerated.

Disney’s at the moment Moana 2 creates a cost estimate $54 million on the first day, including Walt Disney Animation’s Tuesday preview record of $13.8 million. This will at least overwhelm Dwayne Johnson and Auli’i Cravalho’s sequel $170 million in 4,200 theaters, easily a 5-day opening record on Thanksgiving, replacing Disney’s own Frozen ($93.9 million), as well as a top-grossing holiday film at the top Frozen 2 ($125 million). The 3-day course for Moana 2 is somewhere nearby 90 to 100 million US dollars and more.

Let’s just keep this in mind: Johnson’s best start at the domestic box office is Angry 7 at $147.1 million in 2015.

This is Disney’s fourth blockbuster to exceed $100 million domestically under the direction of Alan Bergman Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes; Inside Out 2the highest-grossing film of the year; And Deadpool and Wolverine, the most successful R-rated film of all time.

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Now some competitors are seeing slightly more than 200 million in the period from Wednesday to Sunday Moana 2 If a film crosses this threshold, the sequel would destroy the previous 5-day opening record holder The Super Mario Bros. movie ($204.6 million) like a turtle. Think about your first day here Moana 2 tops this Illumination/Nintendo title’s first day with $31.7 million – but there was no preview for this image. blackout Moana 2The preview for “Surfer Girl” currently sits at $40.2 million.

We’re not done yet…

Evil until Sunday will stand at $236.9 millionarguably the best film of all time in the US, based on the Broadway musical Burying Fat ($190 million). The 5 day on Evil is estimated at $92 million. Today is $18.5 millionthe picture’s highest weekday so far, +11% from Tuesday, which will plunge into a low $61 million second weekend, -46% in 3,888 theaters. The production costs for both parts of Evil Is $320 million before P&A.

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Paramounts Gladiator 2 Another is published on 3,580 websites $6.7 million today, for a second weekend of $27.3 million-50% and 5 days $39.4 million and a running total of $106.6 million for the $250 million feature film production.

Some are getting their double dose of The Rock this weekend and also heading to Amazon MGM Studios’ Christmas action film Red, that’s an eye on a $3 million Wednesday, $13 million third weekend, -1%, $19 million 5-day and running total of $76.3 million.

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Lionsgate’s fourth weekend The best Christmas competition ever at 1,832 locations is worth seeing $950,000 Today, $3.9 million over three days (+14%), 5 days $5.7 millionand running total of $32.8 million.

Keep in mind that the largest five-day Thanksgiving frame for all titles falls on Wednesday through Sunday in 2018 Ralph is breaking the internet open until No. 1, this period accumulates $315.6 million per Comscore. It looks like we can easily exceed this benchmark.

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